DFS NHL Daily Plays
Welcome to Daily Fantasy Hockey with RotoMinds. Many of you know that I (Mike5754) have enjoyed a decent amount of success in NHL over the past two seasons where NHL was actually my most profitable sport last season in terms of ROI %. We will use FanDuel positions and pricing in the analysis unless otherwise noted.
Opening night was a strange one where all four home teams lost, including the Chicago Blackhawks and the Los Angeles Kings. Day 2 brings us a nice 7 game slate with 3 large (-200 or greater) home favorites with the Blues, Lightning and Predators.
- Alexander Steen – Steen is our top play at LW and a top 10 overall player in our projections. Steen will be skating on the Blues top line with our #2 overall player Vladimir Tarasenko. Steen will also be featured on the teams top PP unit with Tarasenko, Shattenkirk, Backes and Stastny. The Oilers should be a much improved team this year on the defensive end, but this is a tough road game to start the season so we still agree with the model on targeting the Blues on home ice.
- Jaden Schwartz – Schwartz is another STL winger who ranks well in the model. It looks like Schwartz will man the 2nd line according to the early lines that have been released. Some of the value in Schwartz came from skating with Tarasenko so I think it’s safe to consider Schwartz a secondary cash play and more of a tournament play.
- Filip Forsberg – Forsberg bounced around with different lines last season but found success with James Neal. Fast foward to 2015 and Forsberg and Neal are both on the top line and #1 PP unit for the Predators. Forsberg is a scorer who just gets it done. The matchup is pretty dreamy tonight on home ice against Cam Ward and the Carolina defense.
- Jamie Benn – Benn is a much better play on sites that don’t award +/- points. Dallas has a new look this year with Patrick Sharp joining the team. This Stars PP unit is going to be one of the best in NHL this year with Benn, Seguin, Sharp, Nichushkin and Klingberg.
- Mike Hoffman – Mike Hoffman is a nice value play tonight on the road against Buffalo. If you’re looking for the best way to have Ottawa exposure outisde of Karlsson, Hoffman is your man.
- Vladimir Tarasenko – Another STL player that ranks well. We touched on Tarasenko above with Steen. Tarasenko is one of the best young scorers in the league. If you download our projection file you will see Tarasenko is a top play tonight on every site, similar to Max Pacioretty last night.
- Phil Kessel – Phil Kessel is a guy you are going to want to target early this season (not as much on +/- sites tonight though). Kessel is an elite player who was playing in a poor situation in Toronto… This year he gets to play with Sindey Crosby, arguably the best player in the game today. Kessel is going to have a huge year and it starts tonight against the Stars.
- Patric Hornqvist – This Pens team is very deep and the added depth should benefit Hornqvist where he will have a more defined role with the 2nd line and Evgeni Malkin. Malkin is an elite center who is often overlooked because of playing behind Sindey Crosby at times. I love this 2nd line tonight and this season.
- James Neal – Neal is skating on the top line and top PP with Forsberg to start the season. Great matchup on home ice toinght for the Preds.
- Bobby Ryan
- Sindey Crosby/Evgeni Malkin – The Pens centers are both top 3 overall plays tonight in our projection model. Playing with Phil Kessel and a healthy team is only going to make these two more dangerous. This is probably the lowest price point we will see on Crosby this season.
- Steven Stamkos/Tyler Johnson – The two centers for Tampa Bay are next in line and both are top 10 overall plays tonight. The Lightning are at home tonight Steve Mason and the Flyers. Look for Stamkos and or Johnson to provide enough offense to get a win for Ben Bishop in their home opener.
- David Backes
- Tyler Seguin – We touched on the new look Stars team with Jamie Benn above. The Stars played at one of the fastest paces in the league last year and the off-season moves shouldn’t change much at all in terms of pace of play. This will be a fun game to watch with many top tier players on the ice for both teams.
- Kyle Turris – Turris is an affordable option at center and a nice way to get Ottawa exposure if you want to pick on the Sabres. Turris will lead the top line and top PP unit, skating with Mark Stone, Bobby Ryan and Erik Karlsson.
- Ryan Spooner – Attrative price point… decent value play tonight if you need to free up cap space.
- Erik Karlsson – Karlsson is easily the top play and he is certainly priced like it. Karlsson doesn’t represent great value but he is generally one of the safest plays in daily fantasy hockey.
- Kris Letang – Did I mention Phil Kessel is playing for Pittsburgh this year? Letang is another guy who could see immediate benefit from the attention Kessel will draw. Letang is healthy and staking in the #1 defensive pairing and on the top PP unit.
- Kevin Shattenkirk – Our final STL recommendation is Kevin Shattenkirk. Shattenkirk definitely isn’t Erik Karlsson, but he is a very strong target tonight with a decent discount if you can’t quite reach for Karlsson. Shattenkirk will play in the 2nd defensive pairing and on the top PP unit for the Blues.
- Shea Weber – GPP Only for us tonight.
- Ryan Ellis – Ellis is one of the better value plays at the position tonight if you are looking to save cap for your forwards or goalie.
- Jason Garrison – Garrison is a great target with a little less name value. Garrison was one of my favorite plays last season because he was always available at a steep discount.
- Pekka Rinne
- Brian Elliot
- Ben Bishop
- Craig Anderson
Goalie is relatively straight forward tonigth with 3 very large favorites on home ice. On a site like FanDuel it’s very important to try to lock in that goalie win and then worry about the rest of your team. Pekka Rinne sits at the top of our rankings tonight at home against the Carolina Hurricanes. While we love the STL offense, Brian Elliot is probably the most risky of the 3 heavy favorites tonight. This Oilers team has several great scorers on the team that can find the back of the net if the team plays well.