MLB

MLB DFS Plays 5-29

DFS MLB Plays

Welcome to Friday’s edition of RotoMinds Daily MLB Plays. Only one early game today so we are back to a full slate. One of the first full slates of the year without games in extreme hitters parks (COL and ARI on the road and CHC game not in this slate)

Pitching Rankings

  1. Matt Harvey
  2. Cole Hammels
  3. Francisco Liriano
  4. James Shields
  5. Sonny Gray
  6. Stephen Strasburg
  7. Trevor Bauer
  8. Anibal Sanchez
  9. Hector Santiago
  10. Lance McCullers

Matt Harvey is the top play tonight at home against the Marlins. Harvey is a large favorite in a game with a total of just 6.5 runs. Harvey was awful in his last start and fortunately for us we weren’t on Harvey that day. This reminds me of a very similar situation to Francisco Liriano. We faded Liriano one day (for a few reasons) when many were on him and he got destroyed by the Twins in 2 innings and we immediately jumped back on Liriano in his next start and were rewarded with a 20+ point night on FanDuel. I’m expecting the exact same with Matt Harvey tonight against the Marlins. After Matt Harvey we have a few options to consider and two of them are facing each other. Cole Hammels is next in line against the Rockies. The Rockies have a few players who really crush LHP so there is a little risk here with Hammels but I’m most concerned with the Phillies offense providing the run support. Hammels has double digit strikeout upside tonight against an awful Rockies team. Liriano and Shields are both great plays with a ton of strikeout potential…. the issue is they are facing each other making it nearly impossible to project a win for either guy tonight. Reminder you can always use the hitting data to identify potential pitching options by filtering by team and looking at the adjusted wOBA, K% BB%, Hard% ect of the hitters facing a pitcher. 

Catcher Rankings

  • Derek Norris
  • James McCann
  • Evan Gattis
  • Russell Martin
  • Roberto Perez

Derek Norris earns the top spot tonight but it’s a fairly tough matchup with Francisco Liriano. Usually to be considered a “top play” we like to see a hitter rank in the top 20 overall hitters in the model. Norris ranks as just the 27th overall hitter currently (before removing anyone out of lineup). Norris has been a machine against LHP in his career and has been hitting 2nd in the Padres lineup against southpaws this season which is great for picking up that extra at bat. The price point is pretty reasonable on FanDuel for all formats despite the tough matchup. James McCann is next in line tonight against a LHP. The Tigers are built well for hitting LHP and McCann is the best “punt” play tonight. If you’re not concerned about salary then Evan Gattis is your man at catcher tonight. We all know the upside Gattis possess against LHP… especially at home in Houston. Gattis ranks #1 in hard contact and ISO at the catcher position.

1st Base Rankings

  • Miguel Cabrera
  • David Ortiz – OUT TONIGHT
  • Adam Lind
  • Brandon Belt
  • Chris Davis

Miguel Cabrera is the top play at 1B again tonight against a LHP. We won’t spend much time on Cabrera… we all know Miggy is a good hitter and in play in all formats if you have the cap room. David Ortiz is next in line and should be well rested after getting the day off yesterday. Ortiz gets a .410 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA in tonight’s matchup in Texas. The wind is blowing in a bit tonight but that doesn’t mean much at all in Texas. When dealing with weather we need to be more concerned with the air density. The air density is pretty low (this is good for hitting) in Texas tonight which should help with ball flight for the power hitters. Adam Lind is having a rough time this month but he still ranks very well tonight against a pitcher who has issues with LHB. Brandon Belt is another great target tonight despite the awful park for hitting. Belt still has a .394 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA tonight. Chris Davis is a streaky power hitter who is warming up with the weather. The air density is relatively low in Baltimore tonight which really helps a hitter like Crush Davis. It’s an extremely small sample but Davis is 2/5 with a HR and 2 BB’s against Karns.

2nd Base Rankings

  • Jose Altuve
  • Brian Dozier
  • Jason Kipnis
  • Ben Zobrist
  • Chase Utley
  • Jimmy Paredes

Jose Altuve returns to the top spot tonight at home against a young LHP. Altuve is the number 3 overall hitter in the model tonight with his .415 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA against Rodon. We don’t really need to say much about Altuve against a lefty… you know the drill by now… the price has come down significantly on FanDuel. Brian Dozier is next in line against a LHP. It seems like Brian Dozier always leads off the game with a HR against a LHP and I wouldn’t be shocked to see it again tonight despite the neutral hitting environment. Jason Kipnis is on a pretty ridiculous run in the month of May and fortunately we have been along for the ride with him. Kipnis is playing in a pretty weak hitters park against but I still love the matchup for the Indians lead-off man who has been hitting both left and right handed pitching. Kipnis is a great contrarian play tonight and one of my favorite tournament plays.

3rd Base Rankings

  • Matt Carpenter
  • Trevor Plouffe
  • Pablo Sandoval
  • Josh Donaldson
  • Adrian Beltre
  • Kyle Seager

Matt Carpenter is the top play tonight against a pitcher coming off a 1 hitter. The Dodgers are on the road tonight (for what seems like the first time all year) at STL. Carpenter is a great play in all formats if you have the cap space. Carpenter has a .402 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA tonight. Trevor Plouffe is another one of our favorite targets against LHP. Plouffe, like Dozier, hits LHP extremely well. Pablo Sandoval and Adrian Beltre are both nice plays tonight in a great hitting environment. Sandoval has a nice matchup with Yovani Gallardo where he gets to hit from the left hand side of the plate (his better side). Also consider Josh Donaldson due to the matchup with Trevor May. May has looked decent at times this year but his long term numbers are barely good enough to be considered a MLB pitcher.

 

ShortStop Rankings

  • Troy Tulowitzki
  • Jose Reyes
  • Eduardo Escobar
  • Marcus Semien
  • Jhonny Peralta
  • Brad Miller
  • Marwin Gonzalez (if top 6)

Troy Tulowitzki is the top play facing a LHP. Hammels is a very good pitcher and there is no reason to spend your cap at SS on a night like tonight so Tulo is a tournament only play for us tonight. Marcus Semien gets a nice matchup against a LHP and is a great play as long as he continues to hit 2nd (assuming he will tonight). Ben Zobrist has returned for the A’s which adds a little value to the other A’s players in the lineup. Also consider Brad Miller if hitting 1-4 in the order against Trevor Bauer. Marwin Gonzalez deserves consideration if he is hitting in the top 6 of the order.

Outfield Rankings

Bryce Harper and Mike Trout are the top plays if you have the salary cap space to fit them. Harper gets a nice park shift playing at CIN against a pitcher who really struggles with LHB. Trout gets a home game against a pitcher who is really struggling in 2015.

Other TOP OutField Targets:

Joc Pederson, Alex Guerrero, Shin-Soo Choo, George Springer, Michael Brantley, David Peralta, Jose Bautista.

Hanley Ramirez, Inder Inciarte, Andrew McCutchen, Rajai Davis, Denard Span, Jason Heyward, Torii Hunter.

Mookie Betts, Mitch Moreland, Josh Hamilton, Khris Davis, Ryan Braun, Justin Upton.

Team Stacks

Astros – Altuve, Springer, Gattis, Carter

Orioles – Davis, Paredes, Jones, Machado, Pearce

Twins – Dozier, Plouffe, Hunter, Escobar

Rangers – Choo, Fielder, Beltre, Hamilton

Red Sox – Ortiz, Sandoval, Ramirez, Pedroia

Good luck!

Be sure to use the our optimal lineups when they are posted later this afternoon. 

Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Popular Posts

To Top
X

Forgot Password?

Join Us

Password Reset
Please enter your e-mail address. You will receive a new password via e-mail.