MLB

Monday DFS MLB Plays

Desmond

Welcome to the Memorial Day edition of RotoMinds Daily MLB Plays. Today we will be playing the “Early Only” slate.

Pitching Rankings

  1. Carlos Martinez
  2. Dallas Keuchel
  3. Bartolo Colon
  4. Charlie Morton – Late slate… had our data wrong. 
  5. Wei-Yin Chin

Pitching is pretty weak today and one of the reasons we recommended playing lightly or taking the day off. In the early only games there are a few good pitchers we can eliminate due to weather: Tanner Roark and Wada for the Cubs. That leaves us with Carlos Martinez, Dallas Keuchel and Charlie Morton as our favorite three pitchers for the early slate. Martinez gets to pitch at home against a team traveling overnight on a short turn around. The Diamondbacks will experience as pretty large negative park shift. Keuchel is next in line but is easily the most talented pitcher in the group. Keuchel has a ton of upside against a team that can strikeout a lot but they also possess a ton of power in a good hitters park. Charlie Morton is making his first start of the year which might scare off a few people but I’m not one of them. Morton is an extreme ground ball pitcher with a nice matchup here in his first start of the 2015 season.

Catcher Rankings

  • Wilson Ramos
  • Stephen Vogt
  • Buster Posey
  • Roberto Perez

Wilson Ramos earns the top spot at catcher this afternoon thanks to the boost from the weather conditions/game total at 11.5. Ramos is hitting 6th today against Wada. Wada has been tough on lefties but he is hittable from the right side of the plate. Wada is a fly ball pitcher and Ramos is a ground ball hitter… this is great news and will lead to more line drives in most cases. The GB vs FB splits are what we refer to as “the other platoon advantage”. Next to R vs L splits the GB/FB is the next most important factor in projecting the outcome of AB’s. Stephen Vogt is next in line in the model but will be reserved for gpp only. I’m fine with punting catcher with Roberto Perez… Perez is walking more and more and has picked up a few extra base hits. Perez has a relatively high floor for his price tag.

1st Base Rankings

  • David Ortiz
  • Joey Votto
  • Anthony Rizzo
  • Ryan Zimmerman
  • Adam Lind

Another day where 1st base is absolutely loaded with potential plays. Ortiz, Votto and Rizzo all rank exceptionally well in our model this afternoon. Ortiz finally gets a RHP after a weekend of nothing but southpaws with the LAA in town. Ortiz has a well documented history against RHP and has a great matchup with Rick Nolasco today. Ortiz is one of those guys that doesn’t need much of a write up when a league average RHP is on the mound. Joey Votto is another top play in a great matchup in a great park. If the rain stays away enough to play this game then Votto is an excellent play in all formats against Eddie Butler who really struggles with LHB. Zimmerman is a nice value play with the conditions in Chicago.

 

2nd Base Rankings

  • Jose Altuve
  • Danny Espinosa
  • Ben Zobrist
  • Jason Kipnis

The Astros face a LHP in a hitters park… Jose Altuve is the clear cut top play at 2B in all formats today. Wei-Yin Chen has improved quite a bit but Altuve still sits at the top of the model at 2B. There is a pretty large gap between Altuve and the other 2B options today so don’t hesitate to spend up for the large positional gap. Danny Espinosa isn’t a great player but he is next in line with the weather in Chicago. Hitting 7th isn’t ideal but its an okay play if you need to save some salary for other positions. Ben Zobrist is scheduled to return for the A’s today and makes a fine tournament option that will be overlooked. Also consider Jason Kipnis and the Indians.

3rd Base Rankings

  • Kris Bryant
  • Pablo Sandoval
  • Yunel Escobar
  • Matt Carpenter

We have a few viable options at third base today. Kris Bryant is easily the top play today even before the conditions in Chicago. Bryant gets a home game after a tough game in Arizona yesterday. If you have the cap to spend, Bryant is a fine place to spend in this matchup back at Wrigley. Pablo Sandoval is back from injury and ranks very well in our model on this early only slate. Sandoval benefits from the same matchup as David Ortiz and we prefer Sandoval from the left side of the plate. Also consider Yunel Escobar (game in Chicago and great lineup spot) and Matt Carpenter who should take advantage of a young pitcher on the road.

 

ShortStop Rankings

  • Ian Desmond
  • Jhonny Peralta
  • Everth Cabrera
  • Marcus Semien

Ian Desmond is the clear cut top play with a nice price tag we really don’t need to spend time talking or thinking about many other options in our cash games. Lock in Desmond and move on!

 

Outfield Rankings

Michael Brantley, Dexter Fowler, Jorge Soler, Carlos Gonzalez, Steve Pearce, Michael Cuddyer

Bryce Harper, Denard Span, Chris Coghlan, Matt Holiday, Adam Jones, Ryan Braun, Carlos Gomez

George Springer, Jay Bruce, Brandon Barnes, Shin-Soo Choo, Brandon Moss, Khris Davis

Team Stacks

Nationals – Desmond, Ramos, Escobar, Zimmerman

Cubs – Bryant, Rizzo, Fowler, Soler

Reds – Votto, Frazier, Phillips, Pena

Indians – Kipnis, Brantley, Moss, Santana

Atros – Altuve, Springer, Gattis, Carter

Brewers – Gomez, Braun, Lind, Ramirez  (deeper stack here that will be lower owned)

Good luck!

Be sure to use the 5-25 Hitting Data and our optimal lineups when they are posted later this afternoon. 

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