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NFL Week 2 Field Report

NFL Week 2 Field Report

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NFL Week 2 Field Report – FanDuel

Welcome to the RotoMinds NFL Field Report where we will take a look at ownership levels in Thursday Night GPP’s on FanDuel. This week we will be using results from the $300k NFL Rush which is a 68,965 entry tournament with a $5 entry fee.

Compare ownership levels with RotoMinds Fantasy Point Projections to identify the best tournament plays for week 2.

Quarterbacks

Player Own %
Drew Brees 15.9%
Marcus Mariota 8.7%
Sam Bradford 7.3%
Tom Brady 6.6%
Alex Smith 6.0%
Nick Foles 4.8%
Matt Ryan 3.7%
Andrew Luck 3.4%
Ben Roethlisberger 3.1%
Ryan Tannehill 2.9%
Tony Romo 2.9%
Andy Dalton 2.5%
Phillip Rivers 1.9%
Eli Manning 1.3%

Drew Brees is the obvious popular play this week with most projection models projecting Drew Brees near the top at home against the Bucs. The number on Brees is likely to rise closer to 20-22% by the time the Sunday Million locks. We expect a slight uptick in Bradford as we are projecting right at 10% on Sunday. Tony Romo is pretty clearly under valued with the increase in pace against the Eagles.

Running Backs

Player Own %
Carlos Hyde 34.30%
Chris Ivory 18.50%
Jamaal Charles 13.20%
Ameer Abdullah 13.10%
Matt Forte 11.90%
Marshawn Lynch 10.00%
Mark Ingram 9.00%
Jeremy Hill 7.80%
Lamar Miller 7.20%
Darren Sproles 6.60%
Justin Forsett 5.90%
DeMarco Murray 5.80%
Danny Woodhead 4.70%
Eddie Lacy 3.80%
Chris Johnson 3.40%
Lance Dunbar 1.10%

Carlos Hyde is 34.3% owned in Thursday GPP’s and we are projecting a Sunday Million ownership of just over 40% owned. Jamaal Charles was just over 13% owned so we expect a good % of that moves to Forte/Lynch area where we are projecting 13-15% on Forte and 11% on Marshawn Lynch on Sunday. Ameer Abdullah comes in with 13% ownership which is too high for us so that is another fade this week.

Wide Receivers

Player Own %
Julio Jones 30.90%
Antonio Brown 20.80%
Jordan Matthews 20.70%
Brandin Cooks 17.70%
Jarvis Landry 14.50%
Terrance Williams 13.50%
Julian Edelman 12.60%
DeAndre Hopkins 11.10%
Odell Beckham Jr. 9.00%
Calvin Johnson 8.10%
Keenan Allen 7.50%
Donte Moncrief 6.80%
A.J. Green 5.20%
Brandon Coleman 3.90%
Davante Adams 3.00%
Pierre Garcon 2.60%
Roddy White 2.50%
Tavon Austin 2.40%

The field is definitely on the top tier receiving options with FanDuel’s pricing/roster set up. Julio Jones, Antonio Brown and Jordan Matthews are all over 20% on Thursday so you can bet they will all before over 20 and possibly approaching 25% owned each on Sunday. Odell Beckham Jr. is the most under valued WR in this group relative to the other options in his pricing tier. This week will be very tricky with which guys to fade and which guys to load up on.

Tight Ends

Player Own %
Rob Gronkowski 15.20%
Jason Witten 14.80%
Tyler Eifert 14.30%
Travis Kelce 14.30%
Austin Seferian-Jenkins 4.80%
Jordan Cameron 4.50%
Greg Olsen 3.80%
Martellus Bennett 3.40%
Jimmy Graham 3.30%
Heath Miller 2.70%
Vernon Wells 1.20%
Kyle Rudolph 0.90%
Coby Fleener 0.30%

Travis Kelce was 14.3% owned in Thursday leagues so we can expect a small change on Sunday. Most of the change we will see Sunday will be sprinkled between Jason Witten, Tyler Eifert and Rob Gronkowski. Greg Olsen is by far the most under valued in the Thursday leagues at Tight End.

Team Defense

Player Own %
Rams 17.80%
Dolphins 16.40%
Ravens 11.60%
Saints 7.80%
Panthers 6.50%
Titans 5.60%
Broncos 5.40%
Chiefs 4.00%
Texans 3.30%
Cardinals 2.90%
Lions 1.60%
Steelers 1.40%
Jags 0.20%

The Rams and the Dolphins are the top two defenses in our projection model so this isn’t shocking to seem them have the highest ownership levels in Thursday leagues. When the Chiefs and Broncos drop out we expect STL to be right at 20% by Sunday.

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