MLB

Saturday DFS MLB Plays

DFS MLB Plays

Welcome to Saturday’s edition of RotoMinds Daily MLB Plays. We are playing the “late slate” only tonight

Pitching Rankings

  1. Tyson Ross
  2. Tim Lincecum
  3. Charlie Morton
  4. Michael Wacha
  5. Roenis Elias
  6. Jesse Hahn
  7. Jered Weaver

Tyson Ross is the top play tonight at home against the Pirates. There is some risk with Ross here but he is the tier play in a pitchers park on a short slate. Ross has the largest K prop of any pitcher tonight. Unfortunately projecting the win against Charlie Morton isn’t a sure thing so we are relying heavily on strikeout potential and limiting runs scored. Ventura is next in line but not really worth writing about due to the weather conditions in Chicago. Tim Lincecum is next in line due to the increased win probability. Lincecum has a ton of upside in this matchup depending on the lineup the Braves run out there tonight.  Reminder you can always use the hitting data to identify potential pitching options by filtering by team and looking at the adjusted wOBA, K% BB%, Hard% ect of the hitters facing a pitcher. 

Catcher Rankings

  • Buster Posey
  • Stephen Vogt
  • Yan Gomes
  • Robinson Chirinos

Buster Posey is the top play at catcher tonight if we aren’t concerned about salary cap. Posey is hitting in a poor park but is still an elite hitter against both left and right handed pitching. Posey hit a HR last night and has a little better matchup tonight against another below average Braves pitcher. Stephen Vogt is next in line against Eovaldi. Eovaldi has been decent this year and gets a nice park shift to work with tonight but he doesn’t miss many of the left handed bats he faces. Vogt has upside on a short slate. Yan Gomes is another lefty masher that gets a high variance pitcher in a poor park. Gomes going 0-4 with 3 K’s wouldn’t shock me… nor would 2-4 with a HR. Elias is the the true wildcard tonight in this slate at pitcher. Robinson Chirinos is another great play tonight if he is in the lineup.

1st Base Rankings

  • David Ortiz
  • Brandon Belt
  • Miguel Cabrera
  • Mike Napoli

David Ortiz is FINALLY back in the Red Sox lineup tonight. Ortiz is once again the top play at 1B and the #1 overall hitter in the model tonight with a ridiculous .452 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA against Texas. We don’t really need to spend much time here at 1B on the short slate. Ortiz is basically a must play in your cash games on FanDuel. This situation is similar to Donaldson the other night where we know he will be 70% owned but there is no reason to fade him in cash games. There is definitely value in going elsewhere in tournaments tonight. Brandon Belt was disappointing last night with a few unlucky breaks but he is once again a top play and someone I like a lot tonight. ****UPDATE. Brandon Belt is now at an equal level of Ortiz tonight for us. Williams Perez has thrown a sinker ball in 70% of the pitches he has thrown this year and Brandon Belt CRUSHES sinker balls. If you remember back to the CIN series when we targeted Belt against sinker ballers…. same thing tonight. Brandon Belt has ELITE pitch values against sinkers. Buster Posey also has these same elite numbers, making him a must play at catcher IMO.

2nd Base Rankings

  • Robinson Cano
  • Dustin Pedroia
  • Adam Rosales
  • Ben Zobrist

Robinson Cano is the most frustrating playing in MLB and he is once again the top ranked 2B hitter in the model. Cano has missed the last two games so we will need to check the lineup. The price on Cano is just laughable relative to his (former) skill set. Next in line and arguably an equal is Dustin Pedroia in the best hitting environment of the night. Also consider Ben Zobrist if you’re feeling contrarian.

3rd Base Rankings

  • Adrian Beltre
  • Matt Carpenter
  • Pablo Sandoval
  • Kyle Seager

Adrian Beltre was our top play at 3B last night and let us down with a few loud outs and nothing to show for it. I’m hoping the trend continues tonight where our players hit a HR the day after we use them. We will be going back to the well with Beltre tonight in a slightly better matchup tonight against Wade Miley. I don’t think we need to spend much time talking about Beltre against a southpaw on this short slate…. just get him in your cash games. Matt Carpenter and Kyle Seager are easily the best tournament options tonight when the crowd will likely be on Beltre and Sandoval. The Mariners rank exceptionally well in the non regressed model so we will certainly have a lot of tournament exposure with the Seattle lefties against Marcum.

 

ShortStop Rankings

  • Brad Miller
  • Elvis Andrus
  • Erick Aybar
  • Brandon Crawford

Shortstop actually has a few attractive options tonight which is a little surprising given the short slate in pitchers parks. Brad Miller is the top target if hitting in the top 4 of the lineup like we expect. Elvis Andrus makes a lot of sense against a LHP in the best offensive environment tonight. Brandon Crawford is a great contrarian play tonight and someone I want some exposure to if I’m playing multiple lineups in tournaments.

Outfield Rankings

Mike Trout and Hanley Ramirez are the top plays in the OF tonight. Hanley was huge for us last night with a home run and he has now hit HR’s in back to back games (his first 2 HR’s since late April). Hanley has a .418 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA tonight against a pitcher making his debut for the Rangers.

Other TOP OutField Targets:

Mookie Betts, Josh Reddick, Billy Burns, Rusney Castillo, Kole Calhoun, Jason Heyward, Ryan Raburn, Seth Smith, Nelson Cruz, Mark Cahna, Matt Joyce, Hunter Pence, Angel Pagan, Nori Aoki, Gregor Blanco, Gregory Polanco.

Team Stacks

Red Sox – Ortiz, Ramirez, Betts, Pedroia

Mariners – Cano, Seager, Cruz, Miller, Morrison

Rangers – Beltre, DeShields, Chirinos, Hamilton

Giants – Belt, Crawford, Pence, Posey

Good luck!

Be sure to use the our optimal lineups when they are posted later this afternoon. 

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