MLB

Sunday DFS MLB Plays 5/31

DFS MLB Plays

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of RotoMinds Daily MLB Plays. Today we will be playing the “All day” and “early only” slates on FanDuel and the full slate on DraftKings. Reminder: RotoMinds Ultimate members get 2-3 FanDuel and 1-2 DraftKings GPP Tournament lineups each day in addition to the 2 FD and 1 DK cash game lineups. Advanced and Ultimate members can download daily hitting data and projections .

Pitching Rankings

  1. Madison Bumgarner
  2. David Price
  3. Danny Salazar
  4. Yordano Ventura
  5. Matt Shoemaker
  6. Drew Hutchison
  7. Julio Teheran
  8. Jake Odorizzi
  9. Bartolo Colon

Madison Bumgarner is the clear cut top play on Sunday at home against the Braves. The Giants offense (and defense) was very frustrating last night providing zero support for Lincecum. The Braves best hitters are all left handed and Mad Bum is one of the best in the business against lefties. Bumgarner has allowed just a .234 wOBA to left handed batters. David Price is next in line despite a road game with the Angels. The Angels bats woke up last night but that is likely due to Greene leaving several pitches right over the heart of the plate. Pitching in Angel Stadium is a nice boost for David Price who can be a little HR prone. Price has allowed a .266 wOBA to lefties and .296 to righties… both are well below league average.  Danny Salazar has a ton of upside with his strikeout potential against the Mariners. Salazar is another player who gets a bump on Sunday due to the road matchup in a more pitcher friendly park. Yordano Ventura has a ton of upside (and downside) against the Cubs on Sunday. If the wind is still blowing in at 25-30 MPH it’s going to be pretty tough to hit balls out of that park. Wrigley field is the most wind sensitive park in baseball. Reminder you can always use the hitting data to identify potential pitching options by filtering by team and looking at the adjusted wOBA, K% BB%, Hard% ect of the hitters facing a pitcher. 

Catcher Rankings

  • Derek Norris
  • Yan Gomes
  • Evan Gattis
  • Buster Posey
  • Russell Martin
  • Yadier Molina

Catcher is all about the lefty mashers on Sunday. Derek Norris, Yan Gomes, Evan Gattis and Yadier Molina are all well known for their ability to hit for power against the southpaws. Derek Norris leads the way on Sunday even in an awful hitting environment. Norris has a .397 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA in this matchup with Jeff Locke. Yan Gomes caught last night so he might get the day off today after a disappointing game last night. Evan Gattis makes cut once again thanks to his ridiculous ISO and hard contact numbers. John Danks should be in for a rough afternoon if the Atros play anywhere near their potential against LHP. Also consider Yadier Molina as a nice contrarian source of value that ranks very well at catcher on Sunday.

1st Base Rankings

  • Paul Goldschmidt
  • Adam Lind
  • Mike Napoli
  • Adrian Gonzalez
  • Brandon Belt
  • Adam LaRoche
  • Prince Fielder

Paul Goldschmidt is the top play on Sunday against a rookie pitcher making a spot start in a poor pitching environment. Goldschmidt is just an elite hitter who has really taken a leap forward this season. Goldy hit 2 home runs on Saturday and has another great shot at touching all the bases on Sunday. If you have the cap space feel free to use it on Goldy. Adam Lind is another guy we have targeted a few times lately. Lind is a guy who has been on our radar because of the high hard contact numbers with the low BABIP. The hits are starting to fall and they are going to come in bunches as things stabilize for Lind. As long as a RHP is on the mound and the hard contact is there we will be targeting Lind until his price comes up. Mike Napoli gets Wandy Rodriguez back in Texas on Sunday. Napoli enjoys playing against his former team in Texas and has a nice .408 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA and .230 ISO in this matchup. Also consider: Adrian Gonzalez and Brandon Belt. 

2nd Base Rankings

  • Jose Altuve
  • Dustin Pedroia
  • Robinson Cano
  • Kolten Wong
  • Neil Walker
  • Jason Kipnis

The Astros are at home against a LHP. Any guess who might be the top play at 2B? That’s right… Jose Altuve is the top play once again on Sunday. Altuve gets the weakest of the 3 White Sox LHP this weekend on Sunday when John Danks takes the mound. Danks is allowing a .354 wOBA to RHB over a large sample size. Altuve comes in with a RotoMinds adjusted wOBA of .419. It should be noted that Altuve has a large positional gap over Dustin Pedroia who is next in line. Pedroia gets one more crack at a LHP at Texas. Wandy Rodriguez is having a solid year and the Red Sox bats are consistently under performing in +EV situations. I’d lock in Altuve if you can tomorrow.

3rd Base Rankings

  • Matt Carpenter
  • Adrian Beltre
  • Alex Rodriguez
  • Josh Donaldson
  • Conor Gillaspie

Another day with multiple viable third base plays in all game formats. Matt Carpenter has the highest ranking even in a L vs L matchup. Carpenter has grown a lot as a player and is now comfortable against LHP. Carpenter has some extra value against LHP because of the elite power hitting behind him in the order against LHP with Holliday, Peralta and Molina. Adrian Beltre let us down two nights in a row… perhaps the 3rd time is the charm? Beltre has another elite matchup. Alex Rodriguez is still making a ton of contact and is a fine play on Sunday against Jesse Chavez. We obviously prefer A-Rod in a better hitters park but he has the power to hit a home run in any park so we are much more concerned with the individual matchups with the opposing pitcher. Conor Gillaspie has a great matchup with Roberto Hernandez on the road in Houston. If he is hitting in the top 5 of the order he is a great contrarian value play in cash games and tournaments.

 

ShortStop Rankings

  • Troy Tulowitzki
  • Jhonny Peralta
  • Ian Desmond
  • Jose Reyes
  • Xander Bogaerts

Shortstop is loaded with viable plays again today… Troy Tulowitzki is having a great road trip and draws another favorable matchup on Sunday. The price point on Tulo isn’t that ridiculous right now so its an okay time to roster the best hitting short stop in the game. Jhonny Peralta is next in line and not far behind Tulo. Peralta is one of our favorite players at any position when a southpaw is on the mound. Peralta has a .389 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA on Sunday. If you look at our hitting data you will see how similar Peralta and Tulo are in adjusted wOBA, ISO and hard contact. Ian Desmond is another strong target as long as he is hitting 2nd in a great hitters park. Also consider Jose Reyes who is one of the best shortstops in the game when he is healthy. Last but not least we must mention another favorite against LHP… Xander Bogaerts. Bogaerts is a great play in all formats if he is hitting 5th on Sunday.

Outfield Rankings

Bryce Harper and Hanley Ramirez are the top plays in the OF on Sunday. Hanley Ramirez is incredibly frustrating to watch due to the lack of effort he provides 80% of the time but Hanley gets another elite matchup with Wandy at Globe Life Park. Hanley has a massive .436 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA in this matchup. I think Hanley will pick up his 3rd HR of the series on Sunday afternoon. Bryce Harper is the other obvious top play if he is in the lineup (back pain after being hit by a pitch on Friday night). Harper is the number one ranked hitter in the model with a ridiculous .454 RotoMinds adjusted wOBA.

Outfield Tier 1:

Mike Trout, George Springer, Justin Upton, Jose Bautista, Andrew McCutchen, Giancarlo Stanton and Nelson Cruz.

Outfield Tier 2:

David Peralta, Matt Holliday, Shin-Soo Choo, Denard Span, Michael Cuddyer, Adam Eaton, Josh Reddick, Ryan Raburn, Michael Brantley, Charlie Blackmon, Carlos Gonzalez, Ryban Braun, Carlos Gomez, Josh Hamilton, Chris Cater.

Mike’s Top Seven Team Stacks

Rangers – Beltre, Fielder, Hamilton, Choo

Astros – Altuve, Springer, Gattis, Carter

Red Sox – Ramirez, Pedroia, Bogaerts, Betts

Padres – Norris, Upton, Kemp, Gyorko

Rockies – Tulowitzki, Blackmon, Paulsen, Gonzalez – Jerome Williams relies primarily on his sinker and cutter (60% usage). Ben Paulsen has crushed both of these pitch profiles in a limited sample. It’s also worth noting Tulowitzki’s success against cut fastballs. Nolan Arenado also has great history against sinkers. 

Diamondbacks – Goldschmidt, Peralta, Inciarte, Tomas

Nationals – Harper, Span, Desmond, Ramos

Blue Jays – Reyes, Donaldson, Bautista, Martin.

Good luck!

Be sure to use the our optimal lineups when they are posted later this afternoon. 

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