NBA

The Eye Test 11-2-15

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I take pride in watching more basketball compared to basically everyone else. That said I do not see any value in trying to analyze Sunday basketball. Most players are either hung over from the previous night of partying or in a weird routine because of the strange start times for some Sunday games. Teams in general seem to just take this day off because of the weekend feel it has. Take what you watch on Sundays with a grain of salt.

 

The Core Four

 

Serge Ibaka– This pick actually is 100% influenced by Mike. Mike pointed out last night to me when Ibaka can basically take the night off in his one on one matchup against a team it allows him to go out and fill the stat sheet with rebounds and blocks. This was completely evident against Denver last night and Ibaka shined. Tonight’s situation against Houston is basically the same situation so Ibaka could do the exact same thing again. Ibakas price is unchanged from yesterday as well so this play hits all criteria as a must play.

 

Bojan Bogdanovic– The tempo of this game fits Bogdanovic very well. He is quietly immerging as Brooklyn’s 4th option behind Brook Lopez and the very inefficient Joe Johnson and Jarrett Jack (This team is a complete mess and might be the worst team in the league). Bogdanovic might not be exposed to blowout benching because he comes off the bench. This play might seem like a throw at a dartboard but I like it tonight as a great way to open up cap space.

 

Giannis Antetokounmpo– Players that can contribute in all five counting stats and get a lot of shots in the half court should be priced much higher. Play him with confidence until he reaches the appropriate price.

 

Karl-Anthony Towns– I have kept him off The Eye Test because he has only played a few professional games. He gets the ball a lot on a team with so many options. Kevin Garnett wants him to try and be dominant and encourages him to get up his shots. The Portland starting big men will have all kinds of problems guarding Towns because of his ability to post on the left block and shoot the elbow jumper.

 

Primary Options

 

Eric Bledsoe– Bledsoe gets to play his former team the Clippers tonight. Bledsoe gets a solid matchup against JJ Redick so the explosive drives will be there. This game should be extremely entertaining and Bledsoe will try and shoulder the load (if Brandon Knight would stop getting so many easy baskets that cripple Bledsoe’s value). I like Bledsoe because he is somewhat bitter about not being given a proper shake to be a off guard to Chris Paul.

 

Jahill Okafor– If you want to pivot off of Towns Okafor is a great alternative- This play is solely based on how bad teams like to throw the ball into the post against good teams. Okafor has a average matchup against Mozgov, but his matchup with anyone else will be good enough to not worry about his production. He gets the ball a ton for someone as cheap as he is.

 

Thaddeus Young– I really like Young because of the style of defense Milwaukee plays. Traditional power forwards can struggle against the switching and trapping defense of Milwaukee, but hybrid forwards like Young have no issues with scrambling defenses.

 

Damian Lillard and Cj McCollum– These guys are in play until their price catches up with their volume of touches.

 

James Harden– This is the game Harden gets it going. Houston has really struggled so far and he will try and carry the team against Oklahoma City.

 

Kawhi Leonard-Anytime Leonard gets to play against a good offensive player he is in play. Coach Pop likes to use a ton of Leonard when the other team has a good small forward to keep him engaged on the defensive end.

 

Secondary Options

 

Draymond Green– Michigan State battle with Zach Randolph tonight. I love when these guys play against each other because they rise to the challenge.

 

Zach Randolph– Randolph has kind of struggled to some extent so far and a matchup against Green is the kind of physical matchup that Randolph needs to get going. He needs to gather a double double to generate what you need out of him so be aware of that.

 

Mo Williams– You have to consider Mo tonight because of his price going down and playing against Isaiah Canaan. Williams has been silent besides opening night and I expect him to have a solid opening night.

 

Russell Westbrook– Westbrook basically got the night off because of the blowout against Denver last night. This is a Harden vs Westbrook kind of game and having some Westbrook against Lawson is going to be just fine tonight.

 

Fades

 

Blake Griffin– The matchup against Markieff Morris is not that great in my opinion. Griffin has been amazing so far this season and I see no reason to play him tonight with power forwards that are way cheaper giving similar production.

 

DeAndre Jordan and Tyson Chandler– These guys cancel each other out and it makes no sense to play either of them tonight. Expect one of them to get in foul trouble.

 

Klay Thompson– Look at that, Thompson is in the fades again. Tony Allen will be the primary defender (or at least give him some looks). The pace is slow and Steph Curry is lighting it up. Play Thompson if you like losing money.

 

Final Notes: I do not collaborate with Mike when writing this article every day. For all I know he could be leaning towards using everyone I say to fade. This article is intended to be another viewpoint. Always use the RotoMinds projections and Optimal Linueps as a primary source and use The Eye Test as another look on everything.

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