NBA

The Eye Test 11-6-15

john-wall-dougie

Yesterday was the first day I have not made money this NBA season. Considering that we are now in the 11th day of the NBA season I would have to say that is a remarkable accomplishment. I would not say that kind of pace will continue at all, but I will say that on most nights RotoMinds will put you in the best possible position to win money. Last night was a time when you have to scrap a few things that were written because of the injury changes after the first game lineup submission time. I was high on Ed Davis because of the Leonard injury. Knowing before hand that Leonard would be playing it would have been Marvin Williams all the way as a good play. I just wanted to clarify that for readers that sometimes it is difficult to translate good plays last minute due to the time the article was written. I also want to show a level of transparency with RotoMinds content that shows we are not right all of the time and are willing to acknowledge that.

 

With that said my personal mindset with daily fantasy sports is to look at it from a long-term perspective. I do not look at any specific day as a way to make a quick turnaround in return, but rather look at it as apart of a big picture of what you are trying to accomplish. If you want to actually make money you have to stick with the game plan and have patience. It has worked for me and it will work for you as well.

 

The Core Four

 

James Harden– A game against Sacramento is exactly what Harden needs to get going. George Karl is experimenting with his lineup so who knows who starts on the wing for Sacramento. Whoever it is cannot guard Harden so it should be a field day. Also with no Sacramento likes to commit stupid fouls when they are in the penalty so harden should get plenty of free throws to give him a solid floor.

 

John Wall– Without Marcus Smart Brad Stephens will be using Isaiah Thomas to try and guard Wall. Thomas is the shortest player in the NBA and plays no defense with rim protection not really behind him. Wall should get plenty of easy baskets. The game will be close also so that will only enhance Walls value tonight.

 

TJ McConnell or Jerryd Bayless– I have a hard time not playing one of these guys tonight. McConnell is a surprisingly good player who was not drafted. He has good court vision and competes the entire game. Brett Brown loves that and will give him time for the moment. Bayless is a great play tonight against New York and Jose Calderon. The game is in New York also so you know Bayless likes that kind of game to show off his one on one game.

 

Marcus Thornton– Thornton does not get any love. He sees a lot of shots in a offense that has a few guys above him in the pecking order. He plays a lot for someone so cheap and plays Sacramento. Guys who shoot a lot who do not cost a lot is exactly what you want.

 

Primary Options

 

Kevin Love– Love was absolutely pitiful shooting the ball against New York on Wednesday. He really only contributes in scoring and rebounding, so if he is not making shots it is tough for Love to have a chance to put together a good game. Luckily playing against Noel should give him a chance to get going early and coast to a solid game.

 

Your Choice of Three Centers

 

Festus Ezeli– Cheap Option in a up tempo game.

 

Andre Drummond-Tougher matchup against Tyson Chandler but has such a high floor.

 

Jahill Okafor– Nutural matchup and middle tier price. Okafor will get his looks with Philadelphia on the road playing a good team. Okafor is unbelievably solid around the basket for a rookie, and does not explode for amazing games thus making his price hover around the same place. But he is a solid piece to plug in a lot of nights,

 

Giannis Antetokounmpo– Players that can contribute in all five counting stats and get a lot of shots in the half court should be priced much higher. Play him with confidence until he reaches the appropriate price. Carter Williams being out only increases his value.

 

Harrison Barnes– This kind of up-tempo game against a small team like Denver can help Barnes if Golden State Chooses to play Green at the five spot. Barnes seems to play at least 26 minutes no matter if the game is a blowout or a close game because of his versatility.

 

Aaron Gordon– It is unclear how the injury to Nikola Vucevic impacts the rotation for Scott Skiles and the Magic. It would appear Gordon will have the most upside relative to his price however so play him with the expectation of him getting solid run off the bench.

 

Secondary Options

 

Isaiah Thomas– When he starts that means he will get up a ton of shots. So you have to consider him no matter who is guarding him.

 

Bojan Bogdanovic– Another great spot to use the forward with the matchup against the bench of the Lakers.

 

Thaddeus Young-It will be interesting to watch Young and Randle go at it. Young just needs a soft matchup for him to play well and Randle is what I consider soft.

 

Fades

 

Dewayne Dedmon– His price looks really attractive but he is more of a defensive player.

 

Evan Fournier– Now that his price has caught up somewhat to his production you actually have to think about playing him or not. Tonight seems like a great time to avoid him since he will be guarded be DeMarre Carroll.

 

Kyle Lowry– Elfrid Payton matchup scares me out of playing him. If you want to play someone for Toronto feel free to exploit Luis Scola or DeMarre Carroll’s matchups.

 

Final Notes: I do not collaborate with Mike when writing this article every day. For all I know he could be leaning towards using everyone I say to fade. This article is intended to be another viewpoint. Always use the RotoMinds projections and Optimal Linueps as a primary source and use The Eye Test as another look on everything.

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